Union Berlin vs St Pauli: Prediction
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Tipster consensus
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Recent form
Union BerlinLLLWL
St PauliLWDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Berlin | 32 | -15 | 35 |
| 2 | St Pauli | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- St Pauli 0–1 Union Berlin2025-11-23
Match preview
Union Berlin host St Pauli in the Bundesliga on 5 April 2026. Union Berlin sit 13th on 35 points and St Pauli are 18th on 23. Union Berlin have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLWL), while St Pauli have won 1 of 5 (LWDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Union Berlin won 1, St Pauli won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
