Union Berlin vs Köln: Prediction
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Tipster consensus
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Union BerlinLDLLL
KölnDDWDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Berlin | 32 | -15 | 35 |
| 2 | Köln | 32 | -12 | 31 |
Head to head
- Köln 0–1 Union Berlin2025-12-20
Match preview
Union Berlin host Köln in the Bundesliga on 2 May 2026. Union Berlin sit 13th on 35 points and Köln are 14th on 31. Union Berlin have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLLL), while Köln have won 1 of 5 (DDWDL). In their last 1 meetings, Union Berlin won 1, Köln won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
