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FTMatchday 34

Union Berlin vs Augsburg: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1457 – 1487

Recent form

Union BerlinLLLDW
AugsburgDWDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Augsburg32-1640
2Union Berlin32-1535

Head to head

  • Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin2026-10-24
  • Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin2026-01-15

Match preview

Union Berlin host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 16 May 2026. Union Berlin sit 13th on 35 points and Augsburg are 9th on 40. Union Berlin have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLDW), while Augsburg have won 3 of 5 (DWDWW). In their last 2 meetings, Union Berlin won 0, Augsburg won 0 and 2 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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