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FTMatchday 27

Udinese vs Fiorentina: Prediction

📍 Bluenergy Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
UdineseFiorentina
  1. Christian Kabaseleassist Nicolò Zaniolo10'
  2. 28'Marin Pongračićyellow card
  3. Kingsley Ehizibueyellow card32'
  4. 32'Fabiano Parisiyellow card
  5. 46'Marin Pongračićon
  6. 46'Marco Brescianinion
  7. 61'Daniele Ruganiyellow card
  8. Keinan Davispenalty64'
  9. Keinan Davison68'
  10. 71'Rolando Mandragoraon
  11. 71'Moise Keanon
  12. Jakub Piotrowskion73'
  13. Jordan Zemuraon73'
  14. Nicolò Bertolaon73'
  15. 80'Luca Ranieriyellow card
  16. Nicolò Zanioloon87'
  17. 87'Nicolò Fagiolion
  18. Adam Buksaassist Lennon Miller90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

UdineseFiorentina
  • 35%Possession65%
  • 1.58Expected goals (xG)0.73
  • 10Shots10
  • 7Shots on target0
  • 5Corners2
  • 16Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides0
  • 0Saves4
  • 299Passes556

Line-ups

Udinese

  • 27Christian Kabasele
  • 10Nicolò Zaniolo
  • 19Kingsley Ehizibue
  • 9Keinan Davis
  • 32Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
  • 31Thomas Kristensen
  • 8Jesper Karlström
  • 40Maduka Okoye
  • 24Jakub Piotrowski
  • 33Jordan Zemura
  • 13Nicolò Bertola

Fiorentina

  • 43David de Gea
  • 8Rolando Mandragora
  • 3Daniele Rugani
  • 17Jack Harrison
  • 20Moise Kean
  • 6Luca Ranieri
  • 5Marin Pongračić
  • 10Albert Guðmundsson
  • 4Marco Brescianini
  • 65Fabiano Parisi
  • 44Nicolò Fagioli

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1416 – 1481

Recent form

UdineseWWLLL
FiorentinaLLDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Udinese35-543
2Fiorentina35-840

Head to head

  • Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese2025-12-21

Match preview

Udinese host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 2 March 2026. Udinese sit 11th on 43 points and Fiorentina are 15th on 40. Udinese have won 2 of their last 5 (WWLLL), while Fiorentina have won 2 of 5 (LLDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Udinese won 0, Fiorentina won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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