Kick-off · Sat, 12 Dec, 08:00 pm ISTMatchday 13
Stuttgart vs Union Berlin: Prediction
Stuttgart60%Home win
Union Berlin60% Home win20% Draw20% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-1
Expected goals (model)2.12 – 1.13
Team rating (Elo)1531 – 1457
Recent form
StuttgartWWLDLUnion BerlinLLWDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stuttgart | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Head to head
- Stuttgart 1–1 Union Berlin2026-01-18
- Union Berlin 2–1 Stuttgart2025-08-23
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
