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FTMatchday 4

Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction

Stuttgart0
FT
Borussia Dortmund1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
StuttgartBorussia Dortmund
  1. Ermedin Demirovićyellow card13'
  2. Angelo Stilleryellow card17'
  3. 32'Nico Schlotterbeckyellow card
  4. 46'Joey Veermanyellow card
  5. 57'Joane Gadouyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1531 – 1529

Recent form

StuttgartWDLWW
Borussia DortmundWWWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Borussia Dortmund7+515
2Stuttgart709

Head to head

  • Stuttgart 0–2 Borussia Dortmund2026-04-04
  • Borussia Dortmund 3–3 Stuttgart2025-11-22

Match preview

Stuttgart host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 19 September 2026. Stuttgart sit 9th on 9 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 15. Stuttgart have won 3 of their last 5 (WDLWW), while Borussia Dortmund have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Stuttgart won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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