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FTMatchday 33

Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1531 – 1506

Recent form

StuttgartLWLDD
Bayer LeverkusenWWLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Stuttgart32+2158
2Bayer Leverkusen32+1656

Head to head

  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 Stuttgart2026-10-31
  • Bayer Leverkusen 1–4 Stuttgart2026-01-10

Match preview

Stuttgart host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 9 May 2026. Stuttgart sit 4th on 58 points and Bayer Leverkusen are 6th on 56. Stuttgart have won 1 of their last 5 (LWLDD), while Bayer Leverkusen have won 4 of 5 (WWLWW). In their last 2 meetings, Stuttgart won 2, Bayer Leverkusen won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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