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FTMatchday 34

St Pauli vs Wolfsburg: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1409 – 1452

Recent form

St PauliLDLLL
WolfsburgLWDDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Wolfsburg32-2229
2St Pauli32-3123

Head to head

  • Wolfsburg 2–1 St Pauli2026-01-14

Match preview

St Pauli host Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga on 16 May 2026. St Pauli sit 18th on 23 points and Wolfsburg are 15th on 29. St Pauli have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLLL), while Wolfsburg have won 1 of 5 (LWDDL). In their last 1 meetings, St Pauli won 0, Wolfsburg won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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