St Pauli vs Mainz: Prediction
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 6'⚽Phillip Tietzassist Sheraldo Becker
- 40'⚽Phillipp Mweneassist Silvan Widmer
- ⇄Lars Ritzkaon46'
- ⇄Danel Sinanion46'
- ⇄Eric Smithon65'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
St PauliLDLDL
MainzWWLDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
| 2 | St Pauli | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- Mainz 0–0 St Pauli2025-12-21
Match preview
St Pauli host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 3 May 2026. St Pauli sit 18th on 23 points and Mainz are 10th on 39. St Pauli have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLDL), while Mainz have won 2 of 5 (WWLDL). In their last 1 meetings, St Pauli won 0, Mainz won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
