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FTMatchday 29

St Pauli vs Bayern Munich: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1409 – 1545

Recent form

St PauliWDLLD
Bayern MunichWWDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern Munich32+8585
2St Pauli32-3123

Head to head

  • Bayern Munich 3–1 St Pauli2025-11-29

Match preview

St Pauli host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on 11 April 2026. St Pauli sit 18th on 23 points and Bayern Munich are 1st on 85. St Pauli have won 1 of their last 5 (WDLLD), while Bayern Munich have won 4 of 5 (WWDWW). In their last 1 meetings, St Pauli won 0, Bayern Munich won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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