Kick-off · Sun, 31 Jan, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 22
Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction
Sevilla45%Home win
Athletic Bilbao45% Home win26% Draw29% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.48 – 1.14
Team rating (Elo)1481 – 1483
Recent form
SevillaWLDLWAthletic BilbaoDDDLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevilla | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | +5 | 12 |
Head to head
- Athletic Bilbao 1–3 Sevilla2026-08-22
- Sevilla 2–1 Athletic Bilbao2026-01-24
- Athletic Bilbao 3–2 Sevilla2025-08-17
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
