Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 33

Semen Padang vs Persebaya Surabaya: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1407 – 1563

Recent form

Semen PadangLLLLL
Persebaya SurabayaLLWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Persebaya Surabaya31+2756
2Semen Padang31-3620

Head to head

  • Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 Semen Padang2025-09-19

Match preview

Semen Padang host Persebaya Surabaya in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 15 May 2026. Semen Padang sit 17th on 20 points and Persebaya Surabaya are 4th on 56. Semen Padang have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLL), while Persebaya Surabaya have won 3 of 5 (LLWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Semen Padang won 0, Persebaya Surabaya won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming