Kick-off · Fri, 6 Nov, 05:30 pm ISTMatchday 9
Madura United vs Arema: Prediction
Madura United44%Home win
Arema44% Home win25% Draw31% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.49 – 1.22
Team rating (Elo)1495 – 1511
Recent form
Madura UnitedWLDWLAremaDDLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madura United | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Arema | 7 | +2 | 9 |
Head to head
- Madura United 2–2 Arema2026-02-21
- Arema 2–2 Madura United2025-12-23
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
