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FTMatchday 12

Semen Padang vs Borneo Samarinda: Prediction

📍 Stadion Gelora Haji Agus Salim

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1407 – 1569

Recent form

Semen PadangLLLLL
Borneo SamarindaWWWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Borneo Samarinda31+4072
2Semen Padang31-3620

Head to head

  • Borneo Samarinda 3–0 Semen Padang2026-04-25

Match preview

Semen Padang host Borneo Samarinda in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 9 November 2025. Semen Padang sit 17th on 20 points and Borneo Samarinda are 1st on 72. Semen Padang have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLL), while Borneo Samarinda have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Semen Padang won 0, Borneo Samarinda won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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