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FTMatchday 11

Semen Padang vs Arema: Prediction

📍 Stadion Gelora Haji Agus Salim

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1407 – 1495

Recent form

Semen PadangLLLLL
AremaDLLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Arema31+242
2Semen Padang31-3620

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Semen Padang host Arema in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 3 November 2025. Semen Padang sit 17th on 20 points and Arema are 10th on 42. Semen Padang have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLL), while Arema have won 1 of 5 (DLLDW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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