Kick-off · Sun, 20 Dec, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 16
Sassuolo vs Parma: Prediction
Sassuolo49%Home win
Parma49% Home win25% Draw26% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.63 – 1.12
Team rating (Elo)1453 – 1429
Recent form
SassuoloLDLLLParmaWLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parma | 8 | -8 | 5 |
| 2 | Sassuolo | 8 | -9 | 5 |
Head to head
- Parma 1–0 Sassuolo2026-05-24
- Sassuolo 1–1 Parma2026-01-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
