Sassuolo vs Parma: Prediction
📍 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- ⚽Kristian Thorstvedtassist Sebastian Walukiewicz12'
- 24'⚽Mateo Pellegrino
- Nemanja Maticyellow card59'
- ⇄Luca Lipanion59'
- 69'⇄Jacob Ondrejkaon
- 70'⇄Gaetano Oristanioon
- ⇄Alieu Faderaon74'
- 78'⇄Enrico Del Pratoon
- ⇄Andrea Pinamontion85'
- ⇄Armand Laurientéon85'
- ⇄Josh Doigon86'
- 89'Alessandro Circatiyellow card
- Sebastian Walukiewiczyellow card90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 53%Possession47%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 11Shots16
- 3Shots on target5
- 4Corners7
- 12Fouls7
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides0
- 4Saves2
- 505Passes453
Line-ups
Sassuolo
- 18Nemanja Matic
- 6Sebastian Walukiewicz
- 99Andrea Pinamonti
- 45Armand Laurienté
- 3Josh Doig
- 49Arijanet Murić
- 42Kristian Thorstvedt
- 21Jay Idzes
- 20Alieu Fadera
- 35Luca Lipani
- 80Tarik Muharemović
Parma
- 5Lautaro Valenti
- 15Enrico Del Prato
- 14Emanuele Valeri
- 22Oliver Sørensen
- 16Mandela Keita
- 21Gaetano Oristanio
- 17Jacob Ondrejka
- 10Adrián Bernabé
- 39Alessandro Circati
- 40Edoardo Corvi
- 9Mateo Pellegrino
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | -2 | 48 | |
| 2 | 35 | -17 | 43 |
Head to head
- Parma 1–0 Sassuolo2026-05-24
Match preview
Sassuolo host Parma in the Serie A on 3 January 2026. Sassuolo sit 9th on 48 points and Parma are 13th on 43. Sassuolo have won 1 of their last 5 (DLWLD), while Parma have won 3 of 5 (DWLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Sassuolo won 0, Parma won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

