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FTMatchday 18

Sassuolo vs Parma: Prediction

📍 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
SassuoloParma
  1. Kristian Thorstvedtassist Sebastian Walukiewicz12'
  2. 24'Mateo Pellegrino
  3. Nemanja Maticyellow card59'
  4. Luca Lipanion59'
  5. 69'Jacob Ondrejkaon
  6. 70'Gaetano Oristanioon
  7. Alieu Faderaon74'
  8. 78'Enrico Del Pratoon
  9. Andrea Pinamontion85'
  10. Armand Laurientéon85'
  11. Josh Doigon86'
  12. 89'Alessandro Circatiyellow card
  13. Sebastian Walukiewiczyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

SassuoloParma
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 11Shots16
  • 3Shots on target5
  • 4Corners7
  • 12Fouls7
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 4Saves2
  • 505Passes453

Line-ups

Sassuolo

  • 18Nemanja Matic
  • 6Sebastian Walukiewicz
  • 99Andrea Pinamonti
  • 45Armand Laurienté
  • 3Josh Doig
  • 49Arijanet Murić
  • 42Kristian Thorstvedt
  • 21Jay Idzes
  • 20Alieu Fadera
  • 35Luca Lipani
  • 80Tarik Muharemović

Parma

  • 5Lautaro Valenti
  • 15Enrico Del Prato
  • 14Emanuele Valeri
  • 22Oliver Sørensen
  • 16Mandela Keita
  • 21Gaetano Oristanio
  • 17Jacob Ondrejka
  • 10Adrián Bernabé
  • 39Alessandro Circati
  • 40Edoardo Corvi
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1436 – 1454

Recent form

SassuoloDLWLD
ParmaDWLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Sassuolo35-248
2Parma35-1743

Head to head

  • Parma 1–0 Sassuolo2026-05-24

Match preview

Sassuolo host Parma in the Serie A on 3 January 2026. Sassuolo sit 9th on 48 points and Parma are 13th on 43. Sassuolo have won 1 of their last 5 (DLWLD), while Parma have won 3 of 5 (DWLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Sassuolo won 0, Parma won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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