FTMatchday 14

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: Prediction

📍 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo3

Fiorentina1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

SassuoloFiorentina

Arijanet Murićyellow card7'
9'Rolando Mandragoraassist Rolando Mandragora
Cristian Volpatoassist Tarik Muharemović14'
Kristian Thorstvedtyellow card16'
Tarik Muharemovićassist Armand Laurienté45'
46'Simon Sohmon
Andrea Pinamontion54'
Armand Laurientéon54'
62'Fabiano Parision
62'Nicolò Fagiolion
63'Luca Ranierion
Ismaël Konéassist Cristian Volpato65'
Sebastian Walukiewiczon78'
Cristian Volpatoon79'
84'Dodôon
90'Rolando Mandragorayellow card
90'Mattia Vitiyellow card
90'Cher Ndouryellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

SassuoloFiorentina

40%Possession60%
1Expected goals (xG)1
13Shots9
5Shots on target1
7Corners1
15Fouls15
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Offsides4
0Saves2
325Passes496

Line-ups

Sassuolo

18Nemanja Matic
6Sebastian Walukiewicz
99Andrea Pinamonti
45Armand Laurienté
3Josh Doig
49Arijanet Murić
42Kristian Thorstvedt
21Jay Idzes
90Ismaël Koné
80Tarik Muharemović
7Cristian Volpato

Fiorentina

43David de Gea
8Rolando Mandragora
18Pablo Marí
20Moise Kean
6Luca Ranieri
10Albert Guðmundsson
2Dodô
7Simon Sohm
65Fabiano Parisi
44Nicolò Fagioli
15Pietro Comuzzo

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1436 – 1481

Recent form

SassuoloWLWDL

FiorentinaLLDDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Sassuolo	35	-2	48
2	Fiorentina	35	-8	40

Head to head

Sassuolo 2–4 Fiorentina2026-11-02
Fiorentina 0–0 Sassuolo2026-04-26

Match preview

Sassuolo host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 6 December 2025. Sassuolo sit 9th on 48 points and Fiorentina are 15th on 40. Sassuolo have won 2 of their last 5 (WLWDL), while Fiorentina have won 0 of 5 (LLDDL). In their last 2 meetings, Sassuolo won 0, Fiorentina won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.