Kick-off · Sun, 4 Apr, 10:00 pm ISTMatchday 30
Sassuolo vs Atalanta: Prediction
Sassuolo37%Home win
Atalanta37% Home win26% Draw37% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.35 – 1.35
Team rating (Elo)1453 – 1515
Recent form
SassuoloLDLLLAtalantaLWLDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atalanta | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 2 | Sassuolo | 8 | -9 | 5 |
Head to head
- Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo2026-08-23
- Sassuolo 2–1 Atalanta2026-03-01
- Atalanta 0–3 Sassuolo2025-11-09
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
