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FTMatchday 27

Sassuolo vs Atalanta: Prediction

📍 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
SassuoloAtalanta
  1. Jay Idzesyellow card12'
  2. Andrea Pinamontired card16'
  3. 21'Lorenzo Bernasconiyellow card
  4. Ismaël Konéassist Armand Laurienté23'
  5. 46'Gianluca Scamaccaon
  6. 46'Raoul Bellanovaon
  7. 46'Lorenzo Bernasconion
  8. Nemanja Maticyellow card57'
  9. 58'Nicola Zalewskiyellow card
  10. 67'Nicola Zalewskion
  11. Kristian Thorstvedtassist Armand Laurienté69'
  12. Domenico Berardion73'
  13. Nemanja Maticon73'
  14. Armand Laurientéon74'
  15. 76'Berat Djimsition
  16. Alieu Faderaon79'
  17. 88'Yunus Musahassist Davide Zappacosta
  18. Ismaël Konéon89'
  19. 90'Raffaele Palladinoyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

SassuoloAtalanta
  • 24%Possession76%
  • 1.52Expected goals (xG)3.18
  • 7Shots26
  • 5Shots on target7
  • 3Corners9
  • 3Fouls13
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 1Offsides4
  • 6Saves3
  • 208Passes656

Line-ups

Sassuolo

  • 18Nemanja Matic
  • 23Ulisses Garcia
  • 10Domenico Berardi
  • 99Andrea Pinamonti
  • 45Armand Laurienté
  • 25Woyo Coulibaly
  • 49Arijanet Murić
  • 42Kristian Thorstvedt
  • 21Jay Idzes
  • 90Ismaël Koné
  • 80Tarik Muharemović

Atalanta

  • 8Mario Pasalic
  • 15Marten de Roon
  • 23Sead Kolasinac
  • 19Berat Djimsiti
  • 16Raoul Bellanova
  • 9Gianluca Scamacca
  • 29Marco Carnesecchi
  • 10Lazar Samardžić
  • 59Nicola Zalewski
  • 42Giorgio Scalvini
  • 47Lorenzo Bernasconi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1436 – 1515

Recent form

SassuoloWWLWW
AtalantaWDWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Atalanta35+1454
2Sassuolo35-248

Head to head

  • Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo2026-08-23
  • Atalanta 0–3 Sassuolo2025-11-09

Match preview

Sassuolo host Atalanta in the Serie A on 1 March 2026. Sassuolo sit 9th on 48 points and Atalanta are 7th on 54. Sassuolo have won 4 of their last 5 (WWLWW), while Atalanta have won 4 of 5 (WDWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Sassuolo won 1, Atalanta won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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