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FTMatchday 9

Roma vs Parma: Prediction

📍 Stadio Olimpico

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
RomaParma
  1. -5'Mariano Troiloyellow card
  2. Evan Fergusonon7'
  3. 38'Mateo Pellegrinoyellow card
  4. Matías Souléon46'
  5. 60'Patrick Cutroneon
  6. Mario Hermosoassist Paulo Dybala63'
  7. Matías Souléon73'
  8. 77'Adrián Bernabéon
  9. 77'Mateo Pellegrinoon
  10. 78'Nahuell Estévezon
  11. Artem Dovbyk81'
  12. Wesley Françaon85'
  13. Gianluca Mancinion85'
  14. 86'Alessandro Circatiassist Adrian Benedyczak
  15. Paulo Dybalayellow card90'
  16. 90'Christian Ordoñezyellow card
  17. 90'Sascha Britschgion

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

RomaParma
  • 60%Possession40%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 18Shots8
  • 6Shots on target5
  • 9Corners2
  • 8Fouls9
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides2
  • 4Saves4
  • 517Passes347

Line-ups

Roma

  • 4Bryan Cristante
  • 21Paulo Dybala
  • 23Gianluca Mancini
  • 99Mile Svilar
  • 19Zeki Çelik
  • 22Mario Hermoso
  • 5Evan N'Dicka
  • 17Manu Koné
  • 11Evan Ferguson
  • 18Matías Soulé
  • 43Wesley França

Parma

  • 32Patrick Cutrone
  • 8Nahuell Estévez
  • 5Lautaro Valenti
  • 15Enrico Del Prato
  • 31Zion Suzuki
  • 22Oliver Sørensen
  • 24Christian Ordoñez
  • 10Adrián Bernabé
  • 39Alessandro Circati
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino
  • 27Sascha Britschgi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1499 – 1454

Recent form

RomaWWWLW
ParmaDWLDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Roma35+2767
2Parma35-1743

Head to head

  • Parma 2–3 Roma2026-05-10

Match preview

Roma host Parma in the Serie A on 29 October 2025. Roma sit 4th on 67 points and Parma are 13th on 43. Roma have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWLW), while Parma have won 1 of 5 (DWLDD). In their last 1 meetings, Roma won 1, Parma won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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