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FTMatchday 13

Roma vs Napoli: Prediction

📍 Stadio Olimpico

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
RomaNapoli
  1. 36'David Neresassist Rasmus Højlund
  2. Evan Fergusonon46'
  3. Bryan Cristanteyellow card54'
  4. 62'Stanislav Lobotkayellow card
  5. Bryan Cristanteon62'
  6. Matías Souléon62'
  7. 64'Sam Beukemayellow card
  8. 69'Noa Langon
  9. Tommaso Baldanziyellow card73'
  10. Lorenzo Pellegrinion80'
  11. 80'Rasmus Højlundon
  12. Wesley Françaon82'
  13. 85'David Nereson
  14. Evan N'Dickayellow card86'
  15. Stephan El Shaarawyyellow card90'
  16. 90'Mathías Oliverayellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

RomaNapoli
  • 56%Possession44%
  • 0.52Expected goals (xG)1.17
  • 8Shots7
  • 2Shots on target5
  • 4Corners2
  • 14Fouls13
  • 4Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides4
  • 5Saves2
  • 546Passes434

Line-ups

Roma

  • 4Bryan Cristante
  • 7Lorenzo Pellegrini
  • 23Gianluca Mancini
  • 99Mile Svilar
  • 19Zeki Çelik
  • 22Mario Hermoso
  • 5Evan N'Dicka
  • 17Manu Koné
  • 11Evan Ferguson
  • 18Matías Soulé
  • 43Wesley França

Napoli

  • 68Stanislav Lobotka
  • 7David Neres
  • 8Scott McTominay
  • 22Giovanni Di Lorenzo
  • 13Amir Rrahmani
  • 17Mathías Olivera
  • 70Noa Lang
  • 32Vanja Milinković-Savić
  • 4Alessandro Buongiorno
  • 19Rasmus Højlund
  • 31Sam Beukema

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1499 – 1465

Recent form

RomaWWLWW
NapoliDDLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Napoli35+2170
2Roma35+2767

Head to head

  • Napoli 3–3 Roma2026-10-24
  • Napoli 2–2 Roma2026-02-15

Match preview

Roma host Napoli in the Serie A on 30 November 2025. Roma sit 4th on 67 points and Napoli are 2nd on 70. Roma have won 4 of their last 5 (WWLWW), while Napoli have won 2 of 5 (DDLWW). In their last 2 meetings, Roma won 0, Napoli won 0 and 2 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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