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FTMatchday 30

Roma vs Lecce: Prediction

📍 Stadio Olimpico

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
RomaLecce
  1. Gianluca Mancinion46'
  2. Neil El Aynaouion51'
  3. Robinio Vazassist Mario Hermoso57'
  4. 61'Nikola Štulićon
  5. 61'Omri Gandelmanon
  6. 67'Lameck Bandaon
  7. Kostas Tsimikason75'
  8. Donyell Malenon75'
  9. Angeliñoyellow card77'
  10. Lorenzo Pellegrinion80'
  11. 81'Santiago Pierottiyellow card
  12. 85'Santiago Pierottion
  13. 86'Ylber Ramadanion
  14. Niccolò Pisilliyellow card89'
  15. 90'Danilo Veigayellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

RomaLecce
  • 67%Possession33%
  • 0.84Expected goals (xG)1.08
  • 14Shots8
  • 2Shots on target3
  • 10Corners2
  • 14Fouls17
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Offsides0
  • 2Saves1
  • 575Passes281

Line-ups

Roma

  • 4Bryan Cristante
  • 7Lorenzo Pellegrini
  • 23Gianluca Mancini
  • 99Mile Svilar
  • 14Donyell Malen
  • 22Mario Hermoso
  • 5Evan Ndicka
  • 12Kostas Tsimikas
  • 2Devyne Rensch
  • 8Neil El Aynaoui
  • 61Niccolò Pisilli

Lecce

  • 30Wladimiro Falcone
  • 20Ylber Ramadani
  • 19Lameck Banda
  • 25Antonino Gallo
  • 17Danilo Veiga
  • 50Santiago Pierotti
  • 9Nikola Štulić
  • 16Omri Gandelman
  • 5Jamil Siebert
  • 44Tiago Gabriel
  • 79Oumar Ngom

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1499 – 1431

Recent form

RomaWDWDL
LecceWWLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Roma35+2767
2Lecce35-2232

Head to head

  • Lecce 0–2 Roma2026-01-06

Match preview

Roma host Lecce in the Serie A on 22 March 2026. Roma sit 4th on 67 points and Lecce are 17th on 32. Roma have won 2 of their last 5 (WDWDL), while Lecce have won 2 of 5 (WWLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Roma won 1, Lecce won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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