Kick-off · Matchday 32
Roma vs Lazio: Prediction
Roma51%Home win
Lazio51% Home win24% Draw25% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.67 – 1.09
Team rating (Elo)1508 – 1588
Recent form
RomaLWWDWLazioWWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 8 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 | Roma | 8 | +11 | 18 |
Head to head
- Roma 2–0 Lazio2026-05-17
- Lazio 0–1 Roma2025-09-21
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
