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FTMatchday 17

Roma vs Genoa: Prediction

📍 Stadio Olimpico

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
RomaGenoa
  1. Matías Soulé14'
  2. Manu Konéassist Evan Ferguson19'
  3. Evan Ferguson31'
  4. 50'Morten Wetche Frendrupyellow card
  5. Matías Souléon57'
  6. 58'Leo Østigårdon
  7. 59'Caleb Ekubanon
  8. 59'Ruslan Malinovskyion
  9. 72'Vítor Oliveiraon
  10. Bryan Cristanteon74'
  11. Gianluca Mancinion74'
  12. 79'Morten Wetche Frendrupon
  13. Evan Fergusonon85'
  14. Wesley Françaon86'
  15. 87'Jeff Ekhator Osayuki

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

RomaGenoa
  • 61%Possession39%
  • 1.37Expected goals (xG)0.71
  • 16Shots10
  • 8Shots on target2
  • 6Corners1
  • 13Fouls13
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides3
  • 1Saves5
  • 563Passes371

Line-ups

Roma

  • 4Bryan Cristante
  • 21Paulo Dybala
  • 23Gianluca Mancini
  • 99Mile Svilar
  • 19Zeki Çelik
  • 22Mario Hermoso
  • 17Manu Koné
  • 11Evan Ferguson
  • 18Matías Soulé
  • 24Jan Ziolkowski
  • 43Wesley França

Genoa

  • 18Caleb Ekuban
  • 3Aarón Martín
  • 17Ruslan Malinovskyi
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 5Leo Østigård
  • 22Johan Vasquez
  • 9Vítor Oliveira
  • 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
  • 15Brooke Norton-Cuffy
  • 39Daniele Sommariva
  • 34Sebastian Otoa

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1499 – 1472

Recent form

RomaWWLLL
GenoaDDWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Roma35+2767
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Roma 2–0 Genoa2026-10-17

Match preview

Roma host Genoa in the Serie A on 29 December 2025. Roma sit 4th on 67 points and Genoa are 16th on 38. Roma have won 2 of their last 5 (WWLLL), while Genoa have won 2 of 5 (DDWWL). In their last 1 meetings, Roma won 1, Genoa won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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