Roma vs Fiorentina: Prediction
📍 Stadio Olimpico
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- ⚽Gianluca Manciniassist Niccolò Pisilli13'
- ⚽Wesley Françaassist Mario Hermoso17'
- 25'Marin Pongračićyellow card
- ⚽Mario Hermosoassist Manu Koné34'
- 46'⇄Jack Harrisonon
- 46'⇄Albert Guðmundssonon
- 46'⇄Marin Pongračićon
- Mario Hermosoyellow card48'
- ⚽Niccolò Pisilliassist Donyell Malen58'
- ⇄Manu Konéon64'
- 66'Fabiano Parisiyellow card
- ⇄Matías Souléon72'
- ⇄Gianluca Mancinion72'
- 75'⇄Nicolò Fagiolion
- 75'⇄Marco Brescianinion
- ⇄Mario Hermosoon83'
- ⇄Donyell Malenon83'
- Stephan El Shaarawyyellow card90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 61%Possession39%
- 2.14Expected goals (xG)0.16
- 14Shots4
- 7Shots on target1
- 4Corners5
- 12Fouls10
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides0
- 1Saves3
- 599Passes373
Line-ups
Roma
- 4Bryan Cristante
- 23Gianluca Mancini
- 99Mile Svilar
- 14Donyell Malen
- 19Zeki Çelik
- 22Mario Hermoso
- 5Evan Ndicka
- 17Manu Koné
- 18Matías Soulé
- 61Niccolò Pisilli
- 43Wesley França
Fiorentina
- 43David de Gea
- 21Robin Gosens
- 17Jack Harrison
- 6Luca Ranieri
- 5Marin Pongračić
- 10Albert Guðmundsson
- 2Dodô
- 19Manor Solomon
- 4Marco Brescianini
- 44Nicolò Fagioli
- 27Cher Ndour
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
RomaWLWDW
FiorentinaDWWDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 35 | +27 | 67 |
| 2 | Fiorentina | 35 | -8 | 40 |
Head to head
- Roma 4–0 Fiorentina2026-08-24
- Fiorentina 1–2 Roma2025-10-05
Match preview
Roma host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 4 May 2026. Roma sit 4th on 67 points and Fiorentina are 15th on 40. Roma have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWDW), while Fiorentina have won 2 of 5 (DWWDD). In their last 2 meetings, Roma won 2, Fiorentina won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
