Roma vs Cagliari: Prediction
📍 Stadio Olimpico
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 5'Alberto Dossenayellow card
- ⚽Donyell Malenassist Gianluca Mancini25'
- 40'Marco Palestrayellow card
- ⇄Lorenzo Pellegrinion57'
- Gianluca Manciniyellow card58'
- 59'⇄Luca Mazzitellion
- 61'Gianluca Gaetanoyellow card
- ⚽Donyell Malenassist Zeki Çelik65'
- 73'⇄Semih Kılıçsoyon
- 73'⇄Sebastiano Espositoon
- Bryan Zaragozayellow card82'
- ⇄Donyell Malenon84'
- ⇄Bryan Cristanteon84'
- ⇄Matías Souléon84'
- 87'⇄Zé Pedroon
- 87'⇄Gianluca Gaetanoon
- 89'Riyad Idrissiyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 53%Possession47%
- 1.33Expected goals (xG)0.35
- 15Shots3
- 5Shots on target1
- 7Corners1
- 18Fouls14
- 2Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides0
- 1Saves3
- 503Passes473
Line-ups
Roma
- 4Bryan Cristante
- 7Lorenzo Pellegrini
- 23Gianluca Mancini
- 99Mile Svilar
- 14Donyell Malen
- 19Zeki Çelik
- 5Evan Ndicka
- 18Matías Soulé
- 87Daniele Ghilardi
- 61Niccolò Pisilli
- 43Wesley França
Cagliari
- 4Luca Mazzitelli
- 94Sebastiano Esposito
- 10Gianluca Gaetano
- 33Adam Obert
- 8Ndary Adopo
- 1Elia Caprile
- 22Alberto Dossena
- 32Zé Pedro
- 9Semih Kılıçsoy
- 15Juan Rodríguez
- 2Marco Palestra
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +27 | 67 | |
| 2 | 35 | -10 | 43 |
Head to head
- Roma 4–2 Cagliari2026-10-27
- Cagliari 1–0 Roma2025-12-07
Match preview
Roma host Cagliari in the Serie A on 9 February 2026. Roma sit 4th on 67 points and Cagliari are 12th on 43. Roma have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWDL), while Cagliari have won 3 of 5 (DLWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Roma won 1, Cagliari won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

