FTMatchday 1

Roma vs Bologna: Prediction

📍 Stadio Olimpico

Roma1

Bologna0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

RomaBologna

19'Remo Freuleryellow card
30'Ciro Immobileon
46'Nicolò Casaleon
Wesley França53'
Stephan El Shaarawyon61'
Gianluca Manciniyellow card67'
72'Jens Odgaardon
72'Lorenzo De Silvestrion
Matías Souléon74'
Evan Fergusonon74'
80'Remo Freuleron
Angeliñoon83'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

RomaBologna

51%Possession49%
1Expected goals (xG)1
14Shots10
4Shots on target2
2Corners4
15Fouls13
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides1
2Saves3
413Passes383

Line-ups

Roma

3Angeliño
4Bryan Cristante
92Stephan El Shaarawy
23Gianluca Mancini
99Mile Svilar
22Mario Hermoso
5Evan N'Dicka
17Manu Koné
11Evan Ferguson
18Matías Soulé
43Wesley França

Bologna

1Lukasz Skorupski
29Lorenzo De Silvestri
17Ciro Immobile
8Remo Freuler
7Riccardo Orsolini
22Charalambos Lykogiannis
4Tommaso Pobega
16Nicolò Casale
26Jhon Lucumí
28Nicolò Cambiaghi
21Jens Odgaard

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1499 – 1534

Recent form

Roma–

Bologna–

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Roma	35	+27	67
2	Bologna	35	+4	53

Head to head

Bologna 0–2 Roma2026-04-25

Match preview

Roma host Bologna in the Serie A on 23 August 2025. Roma sit 4th on 67 points and Bologna are 8th on 53. In their last 1 meetings, Roma won 1, Bologna won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.