FTMatchday 33

Roma vs Atalanta: Prediction

📍 Stadio Olimpico

Roma1

Atalanta1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

RomaAtalanta

12'Nikola Krstovićassist Marten de Roon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

RomaAtalanta

53%Possession47%
0.90Expected goals (xG)0.68
19Shots8
9Shots on target2
7Corners6
4Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Offsides3
1Saves8
535Passes491

Line-ups

Roma

4Bryan Cristante
92Stephan El Shaarawy
23Gianluca Mancini
99Mile Svilar
14Donyell Malen
19Zeki Çelik
22Mario Hermoso
5Evan Ndicka
2Devyne Rensch
18Matías Soulé
8Neil El Aynaoui

Atalanta

77Davide Zappacosta
15Marten de Roon
23Sead Kolasinac
19Berat Djimsiti
18Giacomo Raspadori
16Raoul Bellanova
17Charles De Ketelaere
29Marco Carnesecchi
42Giorgio Scalvini
13Éderson
90Nikola Krstović

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1499 – 1515

Recent form

RomaDLWLW

AtalantaLDWWL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Roma	35	+27	67
2	Atalanta	35	+14	54

Head to head

Roma 2–1 Atalanta2026-09-05
Atalanta 1–0 Roma2026-01-03

Match preview

Roma host Atalanta in the Serie A on 18 April 2026. Roma sit 4th on 67 points and Atalanta are 7th on 54. Roma have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWLW), while Atalanta have won 2 of 5 (LDWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Roma won 1, Atalanta won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.