FTMatchday 22

Roma vs AC Milan: Prediction

📍 Stadio Olimpico

Roma1

AC Milan1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

RomaAC Milan

46'Alexis Saelemaekerson
51'Adrien Rabiotyellow card
55'Zachary Athekameyellow card
Manu Konéon59'
62'Koni De Winterassist Luka Modric
68'Rafael Leãoon
68'Christopher Nkunkuon
Paulo Dybalaon69'
Donyell Malenon69'
70'Luka Modricyellow card
74'Mike Maignanyellow card
Lorenzo Pellegrinipenalty74'
79'Samuele Riccion
Matías Souléon85'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

RomaAC Milan

58%Possession42%
2.72Expected goals (xG)0.45
15Shots5
7Shots on target2
5Corners3
15Fouls11
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Offsides1
1Saves6
586Passes434

Line-ups

Roma

4Bryan Cristante
21Paulo Dybala
23Gianluca Mancini
99Mile Svilar
14Donyell Malen
19Zeki Çelik
5Evan Ndicka
17Manu Koné
18Matías Soulé
87Daniele Ghilardi
43Wesley França

AC Milan

14Luka Modric
16Mike Maignan
12Adrien Rabiot
23Fikayo Tomori
18Christopher Nkunku
10Rafael Leão
46Matteo Gabbia
56Alexis Saelemaekers
4Samuele Ricci
5Koni De Winter
33Davide Bartesaghi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1499 – 1571

Recent form

RomaWLWWW

AC MilanWDDWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Roma	35	+27	67
2	AC Milan	35	+15	63

Head to head

AC Milan 1–0 Roma2025-11-02

Match preview

Roma host AC Milan in the Serie A on 25 January 2026. Roma sit 4th on 67 points and AC Milan are 5th on 63. Roma have won 4 of their last 5 (WLWWW), while AC Milan have won 3 of 5 (WDDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Roma won 0, AC Milan won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.