Kick-off · Sun, 4 Apr, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 30
Real Sociedad vs Valencia: Prediction
Real Sociedad54%Home win
Valencia54% Home win24% Draw22% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.71 – 0.99
Team rating (Elo)1519 – 1455
Recent form
Real SociedadLWWWWValenciaWLDDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Sociedad | 9 | +4 | 19 |
| 2 | Valencia | 9 | -9 | 6 |
Head to head
- Valencia 2–3 Real Sociedad2026-09-20
- Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia2026-05-17
- Valencia 1–1 Real Sociedad2025-08-16
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
