Kick-off · Sun, 21 Mar, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 29
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction
Real Sociedad53%Home win
Deportivo Alavés53% Home win24% Draw23% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.66 – 1.02
Team rating (Elo)1519 – 1469
Recent form
Real SociedadLWWWWDeportivo AlavésLDLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Sociedad | 9 | +4 | 19 |
| 2 | Deportivo Alavés | 9 | 0 | 9 |
Head to head
- Real Sociedad 3–3 Deportivo Alavés2026-04-11
- Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Real Sociedad2025-12-06
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
