Kick-off · Sun, 4 Apr, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 30
Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction
Real Madrid53%Home win
Atlético Madrid53% Home win24% Draw23% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.68 – 1.01
Team rating (Elo)1646 – 1591
Recent form
Real MadridWWWWWAtlético MadridWWWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 9 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 9 | +12 | 21 |
Head to head
- Atlético Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid2026-09-20
- Real Madrid 3–2 Atlético Madrid2026-03-22
- Atlético Madrid 5–2 Real Madrid2025-09-27
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
