RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin: Prediction
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Tipster consensus
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Recent form
RB LeipzigLWWWW
Union BerlinWLDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 32 | +21 | 64 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 32 | -15 | 35 |
Head to head
- Union Berlin 3–1 RB Leipzig2025-12-12
Match preview
RB Leipzig host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 24 April 2026. RB Leipzig sit 3rd on 64 points and Union Berlin are 13th on 35. RB Leipzig have won 4 of their last 5 (LWWWW), while Union Berlin have won 1 of 5 (WLDLL). In their last 1 meetings, RB Leipzig won 0, Union Berlin won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
