Kick-off · Sun, 3 Jan, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 18
Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction
Rayo Vallecano43%Away win
Atlético Madrid31% Home win26% Draw43% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.17 – 1.44
Team rating (Elo)1486 – 1517
Recent form
Rayo VallecanoLWDDLAtlético MadridWWWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 9 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | -7 | 9 |
Head to head
- Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atlético Madrid2026-02-15
- Atlético Madrid 3–2 Rayo Vallecano2025-09-24
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
