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FTMatchday 4

PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya: Prediction

📍 Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
PSM MakassarPersebaya Surabaya
  1. 46'Rachmat Iriantoon
  2. Jacques Medina Thémopoléon78'
  3. 87'Miloš Raičkovićyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1459 – 1563

Recent form

PSM MakassarLDWWW
Persebaya SurabayaLWDDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Persebaya Surabaya31+2756
2PSM Makassar31-533

Head to head

  • PSM Makassar 1–0 Persebaya Surabaya2026-10-22
  • Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 PSM Makassar2026-02-25

Match preview

PSM Makassar host Persebaya Surabaya in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 6 December 2025. PSM Makassar sit 14th on 33 points and Persebaya Surabaya are 4th on 56. PSM Makassar have won 3 of their last 5 (LDWWW), while Persebaya Surabaya have won 1 of 5 (LWDDD). In their last 2 meetings, PSM Makassar won 1, Persebaya Surabaya won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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