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FTMatchday 18

PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya: Prediction

📍 Stadion Maguwoharjo

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
PSIM YogyakartaPersebaya Surabaya
  1. 71'Miloš Raičkovićon
  2. 74'Bruno Pereira de Albuquerqueassist Jefferson Antônio da Silva
  3. 84'Rachmat Irianto

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1445 – 1563

Recent form

PSIM YogyakartaLDDWW
Persebaya SurabayaDDWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Persebaya Surabaya31+2756
2PSIM Yogyakarta31-538

Head to head

  • Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 PSIM Yogyakarta2026-09-13
  • Persebaya Surabaya 0–1 PSIM Yogyakarta2025-08-08

Match preview

PSIM Yogyakarta host Persebaya Surabaya in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 25 January 2026. PSIM Yogyakarta sit 11th on 38 points and Persebaya Surabaya are 4th on 56. PSIM Yogyakarta have won 2 of their last 5 (LDDWW), while Persebaya Surabaya have won 3 of 5 (DDWWW). In their last 2 meetings, PSIM Yogyakarta won 1, Persebaya Surabaya won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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