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FTMatchday 33

PSBS Biak vs Arema: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1373 – 1495

Recent form

PSBS BiakLLLLL
AremaWWDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Arema31+242
2PSBS Biak31-5817

Head to head

  • Arema 4–1 PSBS Biak2025-08-11

Match preview

PSBS Biak host Arema in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 15 May 2026. PSBS Biak sit 18th on 17 points and Arema are 10th on 42. PSBS Biak have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLL), while Arema have won 2 of 5 (WWDLL). In their last 1 meetings, PSBS Biak won 0, Arema won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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