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FTMatchday 5

Pisa vs Fiorentina: Prediction

📍 Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
PisaFiorentina
  1. 42'Moise Keanyellow card
  2. Michel Aebischeron49'
  3. Mehdi Lérison67'
  4. M’Bala Nzolaon68'
  5. Marius Marinon68'
  6. 74'Albert Guðmundssonon
  7. 80'Hans Nicolussi Cavigliaon
  8. Matteo Tramonion87'
  9. 87'Jacopo Fazzinion

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

PisaFiorentina
  • 39%Possession61%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 11Shots14
  • 1Shots on target2
  • 4Corners6
  • 15Fouls15
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides5
  • 2Saves1
  • 231Passes383

Line-ups

Pisa

  • 4Antonio Caracciolo
  • 1Adrian Šemper
  • 7Mehdi Léris
  • 20Michel Aebischer
  • 10Matteo Tramoni
  • 18M’Bala Nzola
  • 6Marius Marin
  • 15Idrissa Touré
  • 5Simone Canestrelli
  • 94Giovanni Bonfanti
  • 14Ebenezer Ajodun Akinsanmiro

Fiorentina

  • 43David de Gea
  • 8Rolando Mandragora
  • 21Robin Gosens
  • 18Pablo Marí
  • 20Moise Kean
  • 6Luca Ranieri
  • 5Marin Pongračić
  • 10Albert Guðmundsson
  • 2Dodô
  • 14Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
  • 22Jacopo Fazzini

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1385 – 1481

Recent form

PisaDLL
FiorentinaDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Fiorentina35-840
2Pisa35-3918

Head to head

  • Fiorentina 1–0 Pisa2026-02-23

Match preview

Pisa host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 28 September 2025. Pisa sit 19th on 18 points and Fiorentina are 15th on 40. Pisa have won 0 of their last 3 (DLL), while Fiorentina have won 0 of 3 (DLL). In their last 1 meetings, Pisa won 0, Fiorentina won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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