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Kick-off · Fri, 19 Mar, 05:30 pm ISTMatchday 23

Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya: Prediction

Persik Kediri
40%Away win
Persebaya Surabaya

Tipster consensus · who picked what

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.28 – 1.42
Team rating (Elo)1481 – 1563

Recent form

Persik KediriDWLWL
Persebaya SurabayaWDLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Persebaya Surabaya8+313
2Persik Kediri7+210

Head to head

  • Persebaya Surabaya 5–0 Persik Kediri2026-05-23
  • Persik Kediri 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya2025-11-07

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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