Kick-off · শুক্র ১৯ মার্চ, ০৫:৩০ PM ISTMatchday 23
Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya: Prediction
Persik Kediri40%Away win
Persebaya Surabaya34% Home win26% Draw40% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.28 – 1.42
Team rating (Elo)1481 – 1563
Recent form
Persik KediriDWLWLPersebaya SurabayaWDLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persebaya Surabaya | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 | Persik Kediri | 7 | +2 | 10 |
Head to head
- Persebaya Surabaya 5–0 Persik Kediri2026-05-23
- Persik Kediri 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya2025-11-07
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
