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FTMatchday 28

Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United: Prediction

📍 Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1563 – 1506

Recent form

Persebaya SurabayaWDLWL
Madura UnitedLLLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Persebaya Surabaya31+2756
2Madura United31-1434

Head to head

  • Persebaya Surabaya 3–1 Madura United2026-10-26
  • Madura United 0–1 Persebaya Surabaya2026-01-03

Match preview

Persebaya Surabaya host Madura United in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 17 April 2026. Persebaya Surabaya sit 4th on 56 points and Madura United are 13th on 34. Persebaya Surabaya have won 2 of their last 5 (WDLWL), while Madura United have won 1 of 5 (LLLLW). In their last 2 meetings, Persebaya Surabaya won 2, Madura United won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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