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FTMatchday 15

Persebaya Surabaya vs Borneo Samarinda: Prediction

📍 Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
Persebaya SurabayaBorneo Samarinda
  1. 65'Westherley Garcia Nogueiraon
  2. 83'Joel Silva dos Anjoson

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1563 – 1569

Recent form

Persebaya SurabayaWDDDD
Borneo SamarindaWWWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Borneo Samarinda31+4072
2Persebaya Surabaya31+2756

Head to head

  • Borneo Samarinda 5–1 Persebaya Surabaya2026-03-07

Match preview

Persebaya Surabaya host Borneo Samarinda in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 20 December 2025. Persebaya Surabaya sit 4th on 56 points and Borneo Samarinda are 1st on 72. Persebaya Surabaya have won 1 of their last 5 (WDDDD), while Borneo Samarinda have won 3 of 5 (WWWLL). In their last 1 meetings, Persebaya Surabaya won 0, Borneo Samarinda won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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