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FTMatchday 3

Persebaya Surabaya vs Bali United: Prediction

📍 Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1563 – 1576

Recent form

Persebaya SurabayaLW
Bali UnitedDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Persebaya Surabaya31+2756
2Bali United31+1150

Head to head

  • Bali United 1–3 Persebaya Surabaya2026-02-07

Match preview

Persebaya Surabaya host Bali United in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 23 August 2025. Persebaya Surabaya sit 4th on 56 points and Bali United are 5th on 50. Persebaya Surabaya have won 1 of their last 2 (LW), while Bali United have won 0 of 2 (DD). In their last 1 meetings, Persebaya Surabaya won 1, Bali United won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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