Kick-off · Sat, 7 Nov, 05:30 pm ISTMatchday 9
Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya: Prediction
Persija Jakarta56%Home win
Persebaya Surabaya56% Home win23% Draw21% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.79 – 1.02
Team rating (Elo)1631 – 1563
Recent form
Persija JakartaWWLWWPersebaya SurabayaWDLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 7 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Persebaya Surabaya | 8 | +3 | 13 |
Head to head
- Persija Jakarta 3–0 Persebaya Surabaya2026-04-11
- Persebaya Surabaya 1–3 Persija Jakarta2025-10-18
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
