Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 13

Persebaya Surabaya vs Arema: Prediction

📍 Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1563 – 1495

Recent form

Persebaya SurabayaWDLWD
AremaLDWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Persebaya Surabaya31+2756
2Arema31+242

Head to head

  • Arema 0–4 Persebaya Surabaya2026-04-28

Match preview

Persebaya Surabaya host Arema in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 22 November 2025. Persebaya Surabaya sit 4th on 56 points and Arema are 10th on 42. Persebaya Surabaya have won 2 of their last 5 (WDLWD), while Arema have won 2 of 5 (LDWWL). In their last 1 meetings, Persebaya Surabaya won 1, Arema won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming