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FTMatchday 36

Parma vs Roma: Prediction

📍 Stadio Ennio Tardini

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
ParmaRoma
  1. 22'Donyell Malenassist Paulo Dybala
  2. Gabriel Espetoassist Hans Nicolussi Caviglia47'
  3. Gabriel Espetoyellow card48'
  4. Gabriel Espetoon53'
  5. 53'Mario Hermosoon
  6. 58'Matías Souléon
  7. 59'Bryan Cristanteon
  8. Mariano Troiloyellow card65'
  9. Emanuele Valerion74'
  10. Enrico Del Pratoon74'
  11. 75'Zeki Çelikon
  12. 75'Manu Konéon
  13. Sascha Britschgiyellow card76'
  14. Hans Nicolussi Cavigliaon79'
  15. Nesta Elphegeon79'
  16. Mandela Keitaassist Nahuell Estévez87'
  17. 90'Devyne Renschassist Daniele Ghilardi
  18. Sascha Britschgiyellow card90'
  19. Sascha Britschgired card90'
  20. 90'Donyell Malenpenalty

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ParmaRoma
  • 34%Possession66%
  • 0.40Expected goals (xG)0.45
  • 7Shots3
  • 1Shots on target1
  • 1Corners0
  • 3Fouls5
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides3
  • 0Saves1
  • 170Passes328

Line-ups

Parma

  • 5Lautaro Valenti
  • 7Gabriel Espeto
  • 15Enrico Del Prato
  • 41Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
  • 14Emanuele Valeri
  • 31Zion Suzuki
  • 16Mandela Keita
  • 24Christian Ordoñez
  • 39Alessandro Circati
  • 37Mariano Troilo
  • 23Nesta Elphege

Roma

  • 4Bryan Cristante
  • 21Paulo Dybala
  • 23Gianluca Mancini
  • 99Mile Svilar
  • 14Donyell Malen
  • 19Zeki Çelik
  • 22Mario Hermoso
  • 5Evan Ndicka
  • 17Manu Koné
  • 18Matías Soulé
  • 43Wesley França

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1454 – 1499

Recent form

ParmaDDWWL
RomaLWDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Roma35+2767
2Parma35-1743

Head to head

  • Roma 2–1 Parma2025-10-29

Match preview

Parma host Roma in the Serie A on 10 May 2026. Parma sit 13th on 43 points and Roma are 4th on 67. Parma have won 2 of their last 5 (DDWWL), while Roma have won 3 of 5 (LWDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Parma won 0, Roma won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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