Parma vs Lecce: Prediction
📍 Stadio Ennio Tardini
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- ⇄Emanuele Valerion26'
- 38'⚽Riccardo Sottilassist Antonino Gallo
- ⇄Sascha Britschgion46'
- ⇄Oliver Sørensenon67'
- 68'⇄Riccardo Sottilon
- 76'⇄Nikola Štulićon
- Abdoulaye Ndiayeyellow card82'
- ⇄Mathias Fjørtoft Løvikon84'
- ⇄Adrián Bernabéon84'
- 88'⇄Lassana Coulibalyon
- 88'⇄Medon Berishaon
- 90'Lameck Bandayellow card
- 90'Kialonda Gasparyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 63%Possession37%
- 1Expected goals (xG)0
- 10Shots7
- 2Shots on target3
- 4Corners9
- 16Fouls16
- 1Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides2
- 2Saves2
- 482Passes275
Line-ups
Parma
- 32Patrick Cutrone
- 15Enrico Del Prato
- 14Emanuele Valeri
- 31Zion Suzuki
- 22Oliver Sørensen
- 16Mandela Keita
- 10Adrián Bernabé
- 39Alessandro Circati
- 3Abdoulaye Ndiaye
- 9Mateo Pellegrino
- 27Sascha Britschgi
Lecce
- 30Wladimiro Falcone
- 23Riccardo Sottil
- 29Lassana Coulibaly
- 20Ylber Ramadani
- 25Antonino Gallo
- 17Danilo Veiga
- 50Santiago Pierotti
- 9Nikola Štulić
- 10Medon Berisha
- 4Kialonda Gaspar
- 44Tiago Gabriel
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | -17 | 43 | |
| 2 | 35 | -22 | 32 |
Head to head
- Lecce 1–2 Parma2026-01-11
Match preview
Parma host Lecce in the Serie A on 4 October 2025. Parma sit 13th on 43 points and Lecce are 17th on 32. Parma have won 1 of their last 4 (LLDW), while Lecce have won 0 of 4 (DLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Parma won 1, Lecce won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

