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FTMatchday 6

Parma vs Lecce: Prediction

📍 Stadio Ennio Tardini

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
ParmaLecce
  1. Emanuele Valerion26'
  2. 38'Riccardo Sottilassist Antonino Gallo
  3. Sascha Britschgion46'
  4. Oliver Sørensenon67'
  5. 68'Riccardo Sottilon
  6. 76'Nikola Štulićon
  7. Abdoulaye Ndiayeyellow card82'
  8. Mathias Fjørtoft Løvikon84'
  9. Adrián Bernabéon84'
  10. 88'Lassana Coulibalyon
  11. 88'Medon Berishaon
  12. 90'Lameck Bandayellow card
  13. 90'Kialonda Gasparyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ParmaLecce
  • 63%Possession37%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)0
  • 10Shots7
  • 2Shots on target3
  • 4Corners9
  • 16Fouls16
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides2
  • 2Saves2
  • 482Passes275

Line-ups

Parma

  • 32Patrick Cutrone
  • 15Enrico Del Prato
  • 14Emanuele Valeri
  • 31Zion Suzuki
  • 22Oliver Sørensen
  • 16Mandela Keita
  • 10Adrián Bernabé
  • 39Alessandro Circati
  • 3Abdoulaye Ndiaye
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino
  • 27Sascha Britschgi

Lecce

  • 30Wladimiro Falcone
  • 23Riccardo Sottil
  • 29Lassana Coulibaly
  • 20Ylber Ramadani
  • 25Antonino Gallo
  • 17Danilo Veiga
  • 50Santiago Pierotti
  • 9Nikola Štulić
  • 10Medon Berisha
  • 4Kialonda Gaspar
  • 44Tiago Gabriel

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1454 – 1431

Recent form

ParmaLLDW
LecceDLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Parma35-1743
2Lecce35-2232

Head to head

  • Lecce 1–2 Parma2026-01-11

Match preview

Parma host Lecce in the Serie A on 4 October 2025. Parma sit 13th on 43 points and Lecce are 17th on 32. Parma have won 1 of their last 4 (LLDW), while Lecce have won 0 of 4 (DLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Parma won 1, Lecce won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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