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FTMatchday 21

Parma vs Genoa: Prediction

📍 Stadio Ennio Tardini

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
ParmaGenoa
  1. Jacob Ondrejkayellow card20'
  2. Lautaro Valentiyellow card28'
  3. Alessandro Circatiyellow card35'
  4. 36'Leo Østigårdyellow card
  5. Jacob Ondrejkaon46'
  6. 56'Vítor Oliveirayellow card
  7. 73'Ruslan Malinovskyion
  8. 73'Vítor Oliveiraon
  9. Adrián Bernabéon76'
  10. Mateo Pellegrinoon76'
  11. 77'Stefano Sabellion
  12. Gaetano Oristanioon82'
  13. 89'Lorenzo Colomboon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ParmaGenoa
  • 51%Possession49%
  • 0.41Expected goals (xG)1.04
  • 14Shots11
  • 2Shots on target3
  • 7Corners3
  • 13Fouls18
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 3Saves2
  • 385Passes375

Line-ups

Parma

  • 8Nahuell Estévez
  • 5Lautaro Valenti
  • 15Enrico Del Prato
  • 14Emanuele Valeri
  • 16Mandela Keita
  • 21Gaetano Oristanio
  • 17Jacob Ondrejka
  • 10Adrián Bernabé
  • 39Alessandro Circati
  • 40Edoardo Corvi
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino

Genoa

  • 3Aarón Martín
  • 17Ruslan Malinovskyi
  • 20Stefano Sabelli
  • 29Lorenzo Colombo
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 5Leo Østigård
  • 1Nicola Leali
  • 22Johan Vasquez
  • 9Vítor Oliveira
  • 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
  • 27Alessandro Marcandalli

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1454 – 1472

Recent form

ParmaWDLWD
GenoaLLDDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Parma35-1743
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Parma 2–1 Genoa2026-09-20
  • Genoa 0–0 Parma2025-10-19

Match preview

Parma host Genoa in the Serie A on 18 January 2026. Parma sit 13th on 43 points and Genoa are 16th on 38. Parma have won 2 of their last 5 (WDLWD), while Genoa have won 1 of 5 (LLDDW). In their last 2 meetings, Parma won 1, Genoa won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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