Parma vs Fiorentina: Prediction
📍 Stadio Ennio Tardini
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- Alessandro Circatiyellow card20'
- 22'Rolando Mandragorayellow card
- 46'⇄Mattia Vition
- ⚽Oliver Sørensenassist Mateo Pellegrino48'
- 63'⇄Rolando Mandragoraon
- ⇄Adrian Benedyczakon67'
- ⇄Jacob Ondrejkaon68'
- 76'⇄Cher Ndouron
- 76'⇄Fabiano Parision
- ⇄Adrián Bernabéon81'
- Edoardo Corviyellow card86'
- 86'⇄Pietro Comuzzoon
- 90'Marin Pongračićyellow card
- ⇄Mandela Keitaon90'
- ⇄Mateo Pellegrinoon90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 42%Possession58%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 13Shots23
- 2Shots on target4
- 5Corners6
- 10Fouls15
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides3
- 4Saves1
- 326Passes452
Line-ups
Parma
- 5Lautaro Valenti
- 14Emanuele Valeri
- 22Oliver Sørensen
- 16Mandela Keita
- 17Jacob Ondrejka
- 7Adrian Benedyczak
- 10Adrián Bernabé
- 39Alessandro Circati
- 40Edoardo Corvi
- 9Mateo Pellegrino
- 27Sascha Britschgi
Fiorentina
- 43David de Gea
- 8Rolando Mandragora
- 20Moise Kean
- 5Marin Pongračić
- 10Albert Guðmundsson
- 2Dodô
- 26Mattia Viti
- 65Fabiano Parisi
- 44Nicolò Fagioli
- 27Cher Ndour
- 15Pietro Comuzzo
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | -17 | 43 | |
| 2 | 35 | -8 | 40 |
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
Match preview
Parma host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 27 December 2025. Parma sit 13th on 43 points and Fiorentina are 15th on 40. Parma have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWLW), while Fiorentina have won 1 of 5 (DDLLW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

