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FTMatchday 17

Parma vs Fiorentina: Prediction

📍 Stadio Ennio Tardini

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
ParmaFiorentina
  1. Alessandro Circatiyellow card20'
  2. 22'Rolando Mandragorayellow card
  3. 46'Mattia Vition
  4. Oliver Sørensenassist Mateo Pellegrino48'
  5. 63'Rolando Mandragoraon
  6. Adrian Benedyczakon67'
  7. Jacob Ondrejkaon68'
  8. 76'Cher Ndouron
  9. 76'Fabiano Parision
  10. Adrián Bernabéon81'
  11. Edoardo Corviyellow card86'
  12. 86'Pietro Comuzzoon
  13. 90'Marin Pongračićyellow card
  14. Mandela Keitaon90'
  15. Mateo Pellegrinoon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ParmaFiorentina
  • 42%Possession58%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 13Shots23
  • 2Shots on target4
  • 5Corners6
  • 10Fouls15
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides3
  • 4Saves1
  • 326Passes452

Line-ups

Parma

  • 5Lautaro Valenti
  • 14Emanuele Valeri
  • 22Oliver Sørensen
  • 16Mandela Keita
  • 17Jacob Ondrejka
  • 7Adrian Benedyczak
  • 10Adrián Bernabé
  • 39Alessandro Circati
  • 40Edoardo Corvi
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino
  • 27Sascha Britschgi

Fiorentina

  • 43David de Gea
  • 8Rolando Mandragora
  • 20Moise Kean
  • 5Marin Pongračić
  • 10Albert Guðmundsson
  • 2Dodô
  • 26Mattia Viti
  • 65Fabiano Parisi
  • 44Nicolò Fagioli
  • 27Cher Ndour
  • 15Pietro Comuzzo

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1454 – 1481

Recent form

ParmaLDWLW
FiorentinaDDLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Parma35-1743
2Fiorentina35-840

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Parma host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 27 December 2025. Parma sit 13th on 43 points and Fiorentina are 15th on 40. Parma have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWLW), while Fiorentina have won 1 of 5 (DDLLW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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